เนื้อหา

1 ข้อ 1
2 ข้อ 2
3 ข้อ 3
4 ข้อ 4

ข้อ 1

เราได้ว่า $E[X_{0}]=X_{0}=S\,$

พิจารณา $E[X_{n}\ |\ X_{n-1}=c]\,$ เราได้ว่า $E[X_{n}\ |\ X_{n-1}=c]={\frac {1}{2}}\cdot 2c+{\frac {1}{2}}\cdot {\frac {c}{4}}={\frac {9}{8}}c\,$

ฉะนั้น จาก law of total expectation, $E[X_{n}]=\sum _{c}\Pr(X_{n-1}=c)E[X_{n}\ |\ X_{n-1}=c]=\sum _{c}\Pr(X_{n-1}=c)\cdot {\frac {9}{8}}c={\frac {9}{8}}\sum _{c}c\Pr(X_{n-1}=c)={\frac {9}{8}}E[X_{n-1}]$

ด้วยเหตุนี้เราสามารถสรุปได้ว่า $E[X_{n}]={\bigg (}{\frac {9}{8}}{\bigg )}^{n}S$ สำหรับจำนวนเต็ม $n\,$ ที่ไม่เป็นลบทุกตัว

ข้อ 2

สมมติว่าโยนเหรียญแล้วขึ้นหัว $k\,$ ครั้ง แสดงว่าขึ้นก้อย $n-k\,$ ครั้ง และได้ว่าหลังจบเกม ผู้เล่นจะมีเงินเหลือ $Wikimedia Error * { margin: 0; padding: 0; } body { background: #fff; font: 15px/1.6 sans-serif; color: #333; } .content { margin: 7% auto 0; padding: 2em 1em 1em; max-width: 640px; display: flex; flex-direction: row; flex-wrap: wrap; } .footer { clear: both; margin-top: 14%; border-top: 1px solid #e5e5e5; background: #f9f9f9; padding: 2em 0; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center; } img { margin: 0 2em 2em 0; } a img { border: 0; } h1 { margin-top: 1em; font-size: 1.2em; } .content-text { flex: 1; } p { margin: 0.7em 0 1em 0; } a { color: #0645ad; text-decoration: none; } a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } code { font-family: sans-serif; } summary { font-weight: bold; cursor: pointer; } details[open] { background: #970302; color: #dfdedd; } .text-muted { color: #777; } @media (prefers-color-scheme: dark) { a { color: #9e9eff; } body { background: transparent; color: #ddd; } .footer { border-top: 1px solid #444; background: #060606; } #logo { filter: invert(1) hue-rotate(180deg); } .text-muted { color: #888; } }$

Error

Too many requests (f061ab2)

2^{k}\cdot 4^{k-n}\cdot S=2^{3k-2n}S

หน่วย

ถ้าผู้เล่นจะไม่ขาดทุน หมายความว่า $2^{3k-2n}S\geq S\,$ กล่าวคือ $Wikimedia Error * { margin: 0; padding: 0; } body { background: #fff; font: 15px/1.6 sans-serif; color: #333; } .content { margin: 7% auto 0; padding: 2em 1em 1em; max-width: 640px; display: flex; flex-direction: row; flex-wrap: wrap; } .footer { clear: both; margin-top: 14%; border-top: 1px solid #e5e5e5; background: #f9f9f9; padding: 2em 0; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center; } img { margin: 0 2em 2em 0; } a img { border: 0; } h1 { margin-top: 1em; font-size: 1.2em; } .content-text { flex: 1; } p { margin: 0.7em 0 1em 0; } a { color: #0645ad; text-decoration: none; } a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } code { font-family: sans-serif; } summary { font-weight: bold; cursor: pointer; } details[open] { background: #970302; color: #dfdedd; } .text-muted { color: #777; } @media (prefers-color-scheme: dark) { a { color: #9e9eff; } body { background: transparent; color: #ddd; } .footer { border-top: 1px solid #444; background: #060606; } #logo { filter: invert(1) hue-rotate(180deg); } .text-muted { color: #888; } }$

Error

Too many requests (f061ab2)

2^{3k-2n}\geq 1\,

หรือ

3k-2n\geq 0\,

ซึ่งหมายความว่า

Wikimedia Error * { margin: 0; padding: 0; } body { background: #fff; font: 15px/1.6 sans-serif; color: #333; } .content { margin: 7% auto 0; padding: 2em 1em 1em; max-width: 640px; display: flex; flex-direction: row; flex-wrap: wrap; } .footer { clear: both; margin-top: 14%; border-top: 1px solid #e5e5e5; background: #f9f9f9; padding: 2em 0; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center; } img { margin: 0 2em 2em 0; } a img { border: 0; } h1 { margin-top: 1em; font-size: 1.2em; } .content-text { flex: 1; } p { margin: 0.7em 0 1em 0; } a { color: #0645ad; text-decoration: none; } a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } code { font-family: sans-serif; } summary { font-weight: bold; cursor: pointer; } details[open] { background: #970302; color: #dfdedd; } .text-muted { color: #777; } @media (prefers-color-scheme: dark) { a { color: #9e9eff; } body { background: transparent; color: #ddd; } .footer { border-top: 1px solid #444; background: #060606; } #logo { filter: invert(1) hue-rotate(180deg); } .text-muted { color: #888; } } Error Too many requests (f061ab2) If you report this error to the Wikimedia System Administrators, please include the details below. Request served via cp5021 cp5021, Varnish XID 214573771 Upstream caches: cp5021 int Error: 429, Too many requests (f061ab2) at Thu, 26 Feb 2026 02:17:29 GMT Sensitive client information IP address: 158.108.32.49

สรุปได้ว่าจะต้องมีการโยนหัวอย่างน้อย $Wikimedia Error * { margin: 0; padding: 0; } body { background: #fff; font: 15px/1.6 sans-serif; color: #333; } .content { margin: 7% auto 0; padding: 2em 1em 1em; max-width: 640px; display: flex; flex-direction: row; flex-wrap: wrap; } .footer { clear: both; margin-top: 14%; border-top: 1px solid #e5e5e5; background: #f9f9f9; padding: 2em 0; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center; } img { margin: 0 2em 2em 0; } a img { border: 0; } h1 { margin-top: 1em; font-size: 1.2em; } .content-text { flex: 1; } p { margin: 0.7em 0 1em 0; } a { color: #0645ad; text-decoration: none; } a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } code { font-family: sans-serif; } summary { font-weight: bold; cursor: pointer; } details[open] { background: #970302; color: #dfdedd; } .text-muted { color: #777; } @media (prefers-color-scheme: dark) { a { color: #9e9eff; } body { background: transparent; color: #ddd; } .footer { border-top: 1px solid #444; background: #060606; } #logo { filter: invert(1) hue-rotate(180deg); } .text-muted { color: #888; } }$

Error

Too many requests (f061ab2)

2n/3\,

ครั้ง

ข้อ 3

ให้ $Wikimedia Error * { margin: 0; padding: 0; } body { background: #fff; font: 15px/1.6 sans-serif; color: #333; } .content { margin: 7% auto 0; padding: 2em 1em 1em; max-width: 640px; display: flex; flex-direction: row; flex-wrap: wrap; } .footer { clear: both; margin-top: 14%; border-top: 1px solid #e5e5e5; background: #f9f9f9; padding: 2em 0; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center; } img { margin: 0 2em 2em 0; } a img { border: 0; } h1 { margin-top: 1em; font-size: 1.2em; } .content-text { flex: 1; } p { margin: 0.7em 0 1em 0; } a { color: #0645ad; text-decoration: none; } a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } code { font-family: sans-serif; } summary { font-weight: bold; cursor: pointer; } details[open] { background: #970302; color: #dfdedd; } .text-muted { color: #777; } @media (prefers-color-scheme: dark) { a { color: #9e9eff; } body { background: transparent; color: #ddd; } .footer { border-top: 1px solid #444; background: #060606; } #logo { filter: invert(1) hue-rotate(180deg); } .text-muted { color: #888; } }$

Error

Too many requests (f061ab2)

X\,

แทนจำนวนหัวที่โยนเหรียญได้ เราได้ว่า

Wikimedia Error * { margin: 0; padding: 0; } body { background: #fff; font: 15px/1.6 sans-serif; color: #333; } .content { margin: 7% auto 0; padding: 2em 1em 1em; max-width: 640px; display: flex; flex-direction: row; flex-wrap: wrap; } .footer { clear: both; margin-top: 14%; border-top: 1px solid #e5e5e5; background: #f9f9f9; padding: 2em 0; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center; } img { margin: 0 2em 2em 0; } a img { border: 0; } h1 { margin-top: 1em; font-size: 1.2em; } .content-text { flex: 1; } p { margin: 0.7em 0 1em 0; } a { color: #0645ad; text-decoration: none; } a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } code { font-family: sans-serif; } summary { font-weight: bold; cursor: pointer; } details[open] { background: #970302; color: #dfdedd; } .text-muted { color: #777; } @media (prefers-color-scheme: dark) { a { color: #9e9eff; } body { background: transparent; color: #ddd; } .footer { border-top: 1px solid #444; background: #060606; } #logo { filter: invert(1) hue-rotate(180deg); } .text-muted { color: #888; } } Error Too many requests (f061ab2) If you report this error to the Wikimedia System Administrators, please include the details below. Request served via cp5021 cp5021, Varnish XID 213034491 Upstream caches: cp5021 int Error: 429, Too many requests (f061ab2) at Thu, 26 Feb 2026 02:17:30 GMT Sensitive client information IP address: 158.108.32.49

เป็นตัวแปรสุ่มแบบ binomial ที่มี parameter

Wikimedia Error * { margin: 0; padding: 0; } body { background: #fff; font: 15px/1.6 sans-serif; color: #333; } .content { margin: 7% auto 0; padding: 2em 1em 1em; max-width: 640px; display: flex; flex-direction: row; flex-wrap: wrap; } .footer { clear: both; margin-top: 14%; border-top: 1px solid #e5e5e5; background: #f9f9f9; padding: 2em 0; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center; } img { margin: 0 2em 2em 0; } a img { border: 0; } h1 { margin-top: 1em; font-size: 1.2em; } .content-text { flex: 1; } p { margin: 0.7em 0 1em 0; } a { color: #0645ad; text-decoration: none; } a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } code { font-family: sans-serif; } summary { font-weight: bold; cursor: pointer; } details[open] { background: #970302; color: #dfdedd; } .text-muted { color: #777; } @media (prefers-color-scheme: dark) { a { color: #9e9eff; } body { background: transparent; color: #ddd; } .footer { border-top: 1px solid #444; background: #060606; } #logo { filter: invert(1) hue-rotate(180deg); } .text-muted { color: #888; } } Error Too many requests (f061ab2) If you report this error to the Wikimedia System Administrators, please include the details below. Request served via cp5021 cp5021, Varnish XID 223940781 Upstream caches: cp5021 int Error: 429, Too many requests (f061ab2) at Thu, 26 Feb 2026 02:17:30 GMT Sensitive client information IP address: 158.108.32.49

ฉะนั้น

Wikimedia Error * { margin: 0; padding: 0; } body { background: #fff; font: 15px/1.6 sans-serif; color: #333; } .content { margin: 7% auto 0; padding: 2em 1em 1em; max-width: 640px; display: flex; flex-direction: row; flex-wrap: wrap; } .footer { clear: both; margin-top: 14%; border-top: 1px solid #e5e5e5; background: #f9f9f9; padding: 2em 0; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center; } img { margin: 0 2em 2em 0; } a img { border: 0; } h1 { margin-top: 1em; font-size: 1.2em; } .content-text { flex: 1; } p { margin: 0.7em 0 1em 0; } a { color: #0645ad; text-decoration: none; } a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } code { font-family: sans-serif; } summary { font-weight: bold; cursor: pointer; } details[open] { background: #970302; color: #dfdedd; } .text-muted { color: #777; } @media (prefers-color-scheme: dark) { a { color: #9e9eff; } body { background: transparent; color: #ddd; } .footer { border-top: 1px solid #444; background: #060606; } #logo { filter: invert(1) hue-rotate(180deg); } .text-muted { color: #888; } } Error Too many requests (f061ab2) If you report this error to the Wikimedia System Administrators, please include the details below. Request served via cp5021 cp5021, Varnish XID 210151004 Upstream caches: cp5021 int Error: 429, Too many requests (f061ab2) at Thu, 26 Feb 2026 02:17:31 GMT Sensitive client information IP address: 158.108.32.49

ความน่าจะเป็นที่ผู้เล่นจะไม่ขาดทุนมีค่าเท่ากับ $Wikimedia Error * { margin: 0; padding: 0; } body { background: #fff; font: 15px/1.6 sans-serif; color: #333; } .content { margin: 7% auto 0; padding: 2em 1em 1em; max-width: 640px; display: flex; flex-direction: row; flex-wrap: wrap; } .footer { clear: both; margin-top: 14%; border-top: 1px solid #e5e5e5; background: #f9f9f9; padding: 2em 0; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center; } img { margin: 0 2em 2em 0; } a img { border: 0; } h1 { margin-top: 1em; font-size: 1.2em; } .content-text { flex: 1; } p { margin: 0.7em 0 1em 0; } a { color: #0645ad; text-decoration: none; } a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } code { font-family: sans-serif; } summary { font-weight: bold; cursor: pointer; } details[open] { background: #970302; color: #dfdedd; } .text-muted { color: #777; } @media (prefers-color-scheme: dark) { a { color: #9e9eff; } body { background: transparent; color: #ddd; } .footer { border-top: 1px solid #444; background: #060606; } #logo { filter: invert(1) hue-rotate(180deg); } .text-muted { color: #888; } }$

Error

Too many requests (f061ab2)

\Pr(X\geq 2n/3)\,

จากอสมการของมาร์คอฟ เราได้ว่า

\Pr(X\geq 2n/3)\leq {\frac {n/2}{2n/3}}={\frac {3}{4}}\,

ข้อ 4

เนื่องจาก $Wikimedia Error * { margin: 0; padding: 0; } body { background: #fff; font: 15px/1.6 sans-serif; color: #333; } .content { margin: 7% auto 0; padding: 2em 1em 1em; max-width: 640px; display: flex; flex-direction: row; flex-wrap: wrap; } .footer { clear: both; margin-top: 14%; border-top: 1px solid #e5e5e5; background: #f9f9f9; padding: 2em 0; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center; } img { margin: 0 2em 2em 0; } a img { border: 0; } h1 { margin-top: 1em; font-size: 1.2em; } .content-text { flex: 1; } p { margin: 0.7em 0 1em 0; } a { color: #0645ad; text-decoration: none; } a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } code { font-family: sans-serif; } summary { font-weight: bold; cursor: pointer; } details[open] { background: #970302; color: #dfdedd; } .text-muted { color: #777; } @media (prefers-color-scheme: dark) { a { color: #9e9eff; } body { background: transparent; color: #ddd; } .footer { border-top: 1px solid #444; background: #060606; } #logo { filter: invert(1) hue-rotate(180deg); } .text-muted { color: #888; } }$

Error

Too many requests (f061ab2)

X\,

เป็นตัวแปรสุ่มแบบ binomial เราได้ว่า

Wikimedia Error * { margin: 0; padding: 0; } body { background: #fff; font: 15px/1.6 sans-serif; color: #333; } .content { margin: 7% auto 0; padding: 2em 1em 1em; max-width: 640px; display: flex; flex-direction: row; flex-wrap: wrap; } .footer { clear: both; margin-top: 14%; border-top: 1px solid #e5e5e5; background: #f9f9f9; padding: 2em 0; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center; } img { margin: 0 2em 2em 0; } a img { border: 0; } h1 { margin-top: 1em; font-size: 1.2em; } .content-text { flex: 1; } p { margin: 0.7em 0 1em 0; } a { color: #0645ad; text-decoration: none; } a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } code { font-family: sans-serif; } summary { font-weight: bold; cursor: pointer; } details[open] { background: #970302; color: #dfdedd; } .text-muted { color: #777; } @media (prefers-color-scheme: dark) { a { color: #9e9eff; } body { background: transparent; color: #ddd; } .footer { border-top: 1px solid #444; background: #060606; } #logo { filter: invert(1) hue-rotate(180deg); } .text-muted { color: #888; } } Error Too many requests (f061ab2) If you report this error to the Wikimedia System Administrators, please include the details below. Request served via cp5021 cp5021, Varnish XID 212378516 Upstream caches: cp5021 int Error: 429, Too many requests (f061ab2) at Thu, 26 Feb 2026 02:17:32 GMT Sensitive client information IP address: 158.108.32.49

ความน่าจะเป็นที่ผู้เล่นจะไม่ขาดทุนมีค่าเท่ากับ $Wikimedia Error * { margin: 0; padding: 0; } body { background: #fff; font: 15px/1.6 sans-serif; color: #333; } .content { margin: 7% auto 0; padding: 2em 1em 1em; max-width: 640px; display: flex; flex-direction: row; flex-wrap: wrap; } .footer { clear: both; margin-top: 14%; border-top: 1px solid #e5e5e5; background: #f9f9f9; padding: 2em 0; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center; } img { margin: 0 2em 2em 0; } a img { border: 0; } h1 { margin-top: 1em; font-size: 1.2em; } .content-text { flex: 1; } p { margin: 0.7em 0 1em 0; } a { color: #0645ad; text-decoration: none; } a:hover { text-decoration: underline; } code { font-family: sans-serif; } summary { font-weight: bold; cursor: pointer; } details[open] { background: #970302; color: #dfdedd; } .text-muted { color: #777; } @media (prefers-color-scheme: dark) { a { color: #9e9eff; } body { background: transparent; color: #ddd; } .footer { border-top: 1px solid #444; background: #060606; } #logo { filter: invert(1) hue-rotate(180deg); } .text-muted { color: #888; } }$

Error

Too many requests (f061ab2)

\Pr(X\geq 2n/3)\leq \Pr(|X-n/2|\geq n/6)\,

จากอสมการของมาร์คอฟ เราได้ว่า

\Pr(X\geq 2n/3)\leq \Pr(|X-n/2|\geq n/6)\leq {\frac {n/4}{n^{2}/36}}={\frac {9}{n}}\,

418531 ภาคต้น 2552/โจทย์ปัญหาความน่าจะเป็น II/เฉลยข้อ 8

เนื้อหา

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ข้อ 2

Error

Error

Error

ข้อ 3

Error

Error

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Error

Error

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